Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more

Trades-Own-Strategy Certification

This system has earned Trades-Own-Strategy (TOS) Certification. This means that the manager of this system trades his own strategy in a real-life, funded brokerage account.

Trades-Own-Strategy (TOS) Certification Details
Certification process started 04/20/2020
Most recent certification approved 4/20/20 13:35 ET
Trades at broker Interactive Brokers (Stocks, Options, Futures)
Scaling percentage used 100%
# trading signals issued by system since certification 331
# trading signals executed in manager's Interactive Brokers (Stocks, Options, Futures) account 328
Percent signals followed since 04/20/2020 99.1%
This information was last updated 11/28/21 0:18 ET

Warning: System trading results are still hypothetical.

Even though the system developer is currently trading his own system in a real-life brokerage account, the trading results presented on this Web site must still be regarded as purely hypothetical results. This is because (among other reasons) the system developer may not have traded all signals, particularly those that occurred before 04/20/2020, and the system developer's results may not match the system results presented here. In addition, not all subscribers have received the same trades or prices as the system manager has. For these reasons, and others, it is extremely important you remember the following:

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

You may be interested to learn more technical details about how Collective2 calculates the hypothetical results you see on this web site.

ALPS 1
(128415506)

Created by: TerryWhalen TerryWhalen
Started: 04/2020
Stocks
Last trade: 6 days ago
Trading style: Equity Trend-following

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $299.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Equity
Trend-following
Category: Equity

Trend-following

Tries to take advantage of long, medium or short-term moves that seem to play out in various markets. Typically, trend-following analysis is backward looking; that is, it attempts to recognize and profit from already-established trends.
65.5%
Annual Return (Compounded)

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return is calculated

= ((Ending_equity / Starting_equity) ^ (1 / age_in_years)) - 1

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(32.0%)
Max Drawdown
133
Num Trades
62.4%
Win Trades
2.2 : 1
Profit Factor
60.0%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2020                       -  (0.6%)+12.8%(5.4%)+22.7%+19.4%(5.7%)+30.3%+6.1%+102.3%
2021+0.3%+0.9%+5.7%(7.7%)(10.6%)(2.8%)+2.5%+19.1%(1.7%)+6.3%+2.4%      +12.2%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

System developer has asked us to delay this information by 48 hours.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 320 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. To see live brokerage data, select Show AutoTrade Data, and click on a Live AutoTrade Indicator symbol.

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
7/9/21 11:13 LKYSF NUMINUS WELLNESS INC ORDINARY SHARES LONG 600 0.81 11/22 9:32 0.00 0.03%
Trade id #136402268
Max drawdown($208)
Time11/19/21 0:00
Quant open600
Worst price0.46
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
($490)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
11/8/21 15:11 OLO OLO INC LONG 1,000 30.22 11/17 13:30 28.70 0.38%
Trade id #138120309
Max drawdown($2,596)
Time11/11/21 0:00
Quant open1,000
Worst price27.62
Drawdown as % of equity-0.38%
($1,521)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
9/23/21 11:08 SFIX STITCH FIX INC. CLASS A COMMON STOCK LONG 1,500 40.73 11/17 13:29 30.51 2.27%
Trade id #137499038
Max drawdown($15,345)
Time11/17/21 12:50
Quant open1,500
Worst price30.50
Drawdown as % of equity-2.27%
($15,335)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
11/5/21 11:10 WSNAF WESANA HEALTH HLDGS INC COMMON SHARES LONG 300 1.80 11/16 9:30 1.99 0%
Trade id #138092019
Max drawdown($5)
Time11/8/21 0:00
Quant open300
Worst price1.78
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
$51
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.00
11/8/21 13:47 JNUG DIREXION DAILY JR GOLD BULL 2X LONG 1,000 73.17 11/15 13:44 81.80 0.25%
Trade id #138119231
Max drawdown($1,662)
Time11/9/21 0:00
Quant open1,000
Worst price71.51
Drawdown as % of equity-0.25%
$8,622
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
6/30/21 11:47 EQX2221A10 EQX Jan21'22 10 call LONG 300 0.22 11/12 10:40 0.30 0.6%
Trade id #136270123
Max drawdown($3,734)
Time9/30/21 0:00
Quant open300
Worst price0.10
Drawdown as % of equity-0.60%
$1,846
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $420.00
10/4/21 12:51 FNGU MICROSECTORS FANG+ 3X LEVERAGED ETN LONG 3,500 30.05 11/3 15:31 46.65 0.08%
Trade id #137651355
Max drawdown($490)
Time10/4/21 13:05
Quant open3,500
Worst price29.91
Drawdown as % of equity-0.08%
$58,095
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
6/10/21 9:30 CTRM2115J5 CTRM Oct15'21 5 call LONG 90 0.49 10/16 9:35 0.00 0.68%
Trade id #136001161
Max drawdown($4,310)
Time9/10/21 0:00
Quant open90
Worst price0.01
Drawdown as % of equity-0.68%
($4,463)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $63.00
9/27/21 12:57 SCYX SCYNEXIS INC. COMMON STOCK LONG 5,000 5.77 10/4 10:43 5.00 0.64%
Trade id #137547183
Max drawdown($4,024)
Time10/4/21 10:19
Quant open5,000
Worst price4.96
Drawdown as % of equity-0.64%
($3,854)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
8/30/21 12:57 SOXS DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BEAR LONG 10,000 6.18 9/15 11:45 6.16 0.35%
Trade id #137179342
Max drawdown($2,200)
Time9/14/21 0:00
Quant open10,000
Worst price5.96
Drawdown as % of equity-0.35%
($205)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
9/2/21 13:38 CWBHF CHARLOTTES WEB HOLDINGS INC LONG 20,000 2.40 9/9 12:39 2.23 0.57%
Trade id #137228944
Max drawdown($3,600)
Time9/9/21 11:46
Quant open20,000
Worst price2.22
Drawdown as % of equity-0.57%
($3,389)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
5/3/21 9:30 GDLC GRAYSCALE DIGITAL LARGE CAP FUND LLC SHARES USD LONG 3,792 30.41 8/23 15:03 52.00 9.21%
Trade id #135418551
Max drawdown($47,050)
Time6/22/21 0:00
Quant open3,792
Worst price18.00
Drawdown as % of equity-9.21%
$81,871
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.50
6/15/21 9:30 HUT HUT 8 MINING CORP. COMMON SHARES LONG 5,000 4.30 8/23 10:43 7.05 1.13%
Trade id #136061079
Max drawdown($5,750)
Time6/22/21 0:00
Quant open5,000
Worst price3.15
Drawdown as % of equity-1.13%
$13,745
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
7/19/21 13:44 CLXPF CYBIN INC. COMMON SHARES LONG 200 2.46 8/5 9:33 3.02 0%
Trade id #136562450
Max drawdown($6)
Time7/19/21 13:47
Quant open200
Worst price2.43
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
$108
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.00
7/15/21 10:45 TNA2120H88 TNA Aug20'21 88 call LONG 10 4.00 7/19 15:05 2.00 0.39%
Trade id #136506672
Max drawdown($2,000)
Time7/19/21 15:05
Quant open10
Worst price2.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.39%
($2,014)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $14.00
6/8/21 10:02 SI2116G125 SI Jul16'21 125 call LONG 40 3.19 7/17 9:35 0.00 2.43%
Trade id #135962203
Max drawdown($12,710)
Time7/14/21 0:00
Quant open40
Worst price0.01
Drawdown as % of equity-2.43%
($12,778)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $28.00
6/9/21 15:16 NM2116G12.5 NM Jul16'21 12.5 call LONG 100 0.40 7/17 9:35 0.00 0.71%
Trade id #135991789
Max drawdown($3,700)
Time7/6/21 0:00
Quant open100
Worst price0.03
Drawdown as % of equity-0.71%
($4,070)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $70.00
6/8/21 14:13 SOXL2120H40 SOXL Aug20'21 40 call LONG 10 4.50 6/29 11:48 6.90 0.23%
Trade id #135969561
Max drawdown($1,200)
Time6/21/21 0:00
Quant open10
Worst price3.30
Drawdown as % of equity-0.23%
$2,386
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $14.00
6/15/21 14:19 NAIL2116G92 NAIL Jul16'21 92 call LONG 45 1.30 6/28 14:18 0.35 0.88%
Trade id #136066957
Max drawdown($4,500)
Time6/24/21 0:00
Quant open45
Worst price0.30
Drawdown as % of equity-0.88%
($4,328)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $63.00
6/15/21 13:40 FLWS2116S31 FLWS Jul16'21 31 put LONG 125 0.40 6/22 15:40 0.45 n/a $450
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $175.00
6/18/21 13:44 RIOT2116S20 RIOT Jul16'21 20 put LONG 200 0.31 6/21 13:06 0.31 n/a ($261)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $280.00
6/17/21 9:30 LEN2125F99 LEN Jun25'21 99 call LONG 10 0.44 6/18 9:30 0.94 n/a $486
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $14.00
6/15/21 13:54 SQ2125F245 SQ Jun25'21 245 call LONG 20 1.12 6/17 9:59 1.10 0.16%
Trade id #136066566
Max drawdown($910)
Time6/16/21 0:00
Quant open10
Worst price0.54
Drawdown as % of equity-0.16%
($78)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $28.00
6/8/21 11:20 HUTMF HUT 8 MINING CORP LONG 5,000 3.50 6/15 9:32 4.35 n/a $4,233
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
5/11/21 13:26 SOXL DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BULL LONG 1,000 31.84 6/14 15:40 40.55 0.75%
Trade id #135562189
Max drawdown($4,028)
Time5/12/21 0:00
Quant open1,000
Worst price27.81
Drawdown as % of equity-0.75%
$8,706
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
6/7/21 13:17 SQ2120H270 SQ Aug20'21 270 call LONG 40 3.29 6/14 13:09 5.70 0.34%
Trade id #135944943
Max drawdown($1,775)
Time6/10/21 0:00
Quant open20
Worst price2.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.34%
$9,569
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $56.00
6/8/21 10:54 GAN2116G20 GAN Jul16'21 20 call LONG 30 0.85 6/14 11:12 0.50 0.23%
Trade id #135964642
Max drawdown($1,200)
Time6/11/21 0:00
Quant open30
Worst price0.45
Drawdown as % of equity-0.23%
($1,092)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $42.00
6/18/20 11:14 GBTC GRAYSCALE BITCOIN TRUST (BTC) COMMON STOCK LONG 3,000 19.51 6/9/21 10:34 29.23 0.21%
Trade id #129637169
Max drawdown($728)
Time7/17/20 0:00
Quant open500
Worst price9.13
Drawdown as % of equity-0.21%
$29,159
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $12.50
4/26/21 14:31 SI SILVERGATE CAPITAL CORP LONG 1,450 111.34 6/3 9:55 112.00 8.2%
Trade id #135323788
Max drawdown($44,309)
Time5/12/21 0:00
Quant open1,450
Worst price80.78
Drawdown as % of equity-8.20%
$951
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $9.50
5/28/21 11:33 LABU DIREXION DAILY S&P BIOTECH BULL LONG 1,050 64.50 6/1 10:23 60.61 0.8%
Trade id #135822757
Max drawdown($4,300)
Time6/1/21 10:22
Quant open1,050
Worst price60.40
Drawdown as % of equity-0.80%
($4,083)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.00

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    4/20/2020
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $100,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    586.45
  • Age
    20 months ago
  • What it trades
    Stocks
  • # Trades
    133
  • # Profitable
    83
  • % Profitable
    62.40%
  • Avg trade duration
    31.9 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    31.96%
  • drawdown period
    April 13, 2021 - May 19, 2021
  • Annual Return (Compounded)
    65.5%
  • Avg win
    $8,533
  • Avg loss
    $6,381
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $581,352
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $582,611
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    2.22:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    1.35
  • Sortino Ratio
    2.22
  • Calmar Ratio
    2.452
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    62.81%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.20440
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    62.75%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    65.5%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    3.50%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    n/a
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.39%
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.654%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    0.12%
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    0.73%
  • Percent Trades Forex
    0.16%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    67.1%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    49.00%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    20.00%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    2.50%
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    762
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    897
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    964
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    741
  • Management
  • No Subs Allowed Flag (1: no subs)
    0
  • Strat abandoned?
    0
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    Yes
  • TOS percent
    100%
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $6,325
  • Avg Win
    $8,631
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $322,579.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    20
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $707,763.000
  • # Winners
    82
  • Num Months Winners
    13
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    43
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    51
  • % Winners
    61.6%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    45915.70
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    765.26
  • Avg Trade Length
    31.9 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    6
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    0.98
  • Daily leverage (max)
    3.09
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.12
  • Beta
    0.43
  • Treynor Index
    0.35
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.01
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -2.25
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    2.248
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.00
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.651
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.129
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.451
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.57892
  • SD
    0.32958
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.75653
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.67768
  • df
    17.00000
  • t
    2.15130
  • p
    0.21638
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.02970
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.43809
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.01907
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.37444
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    4.58546
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    6.34652
  • Upside part of mean
    0.80126
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.22234
  • Upside SD
    0.33849
  • Downside SD
    0.12625
  • N nonnegative terms
    11.00000
  • N negative terms
    7.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    18.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.32110
  • Mean of criterion
    0.57892
  • SD of predictor
    0.10108
  • SD of criterion
    0.32958
  • Covariance
    0.00497
  • r
    0.14928
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.48674
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.42263
  • Mean Square Error
    0.11284
  • DF error
    16.00000
  • t(b)
    0.60387
  • p(b)
    0.42536
  • t(a)
    1.12069
  • p(a)
    0.36511
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -1.22199
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.19548
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.37682
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.22207
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    1.18937
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.42263
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.51772
  • SD
    0.31336
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.65218
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.57802
  • df
    17.00000
  • t
    2.02350
  • p
    0.22888
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.06194
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.32318
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.10790
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.26394
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.92888
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    5.67614
  • Upside part of mean
    0.74797
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.23024
  • Upside SD
    0.31259
  • Downside SD
    0.13177
  • N nonnegative terms
    11.00000
  • N negative terms
    7.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    18.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.31155
  • Mean of criterion
    0.51772
  • SD of predictor
    0.09900
  • SD of criterion
    0.31336
  • Covariance
    0.00475
  • r
    0.15323
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.48499
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.36663
  • Mean Square Error
    0.10188
  • DF error
    16.00000
  • t(b)
    0.62023
  • p(b)
    0.42339
  • t(a)
    1.02769
  • p(a)
    0.37558
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -1.17268
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.14266
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.38964
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.12290
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    1.06749
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.36663
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.10026
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.13315
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.03646
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.07260
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    18.00000
  • Minimum
    0.89814
  • Quartile 1
    0.98185
  • Median
    1.05754
  • Quartile 3
    1.10859
  • Maximum
    1.22391
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.94150
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.01114
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.07996
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.16768
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.12675
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -1.56940
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.05311
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.05528
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.93217
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.09424
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.10395
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    2.00000
  • Minimum
    0.01353
  • Quartile 1
    0.06227
  • Median
    0.11101
  • Quartile 3
    0.15975
  • Maximum
    0.20849
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.01353
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.20849
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.09748
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.84465
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.72570
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    3.48080
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    3.48080
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    5.45018
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.56391
  • SD
    0.34741
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.62318
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.62018
  • df
    406.00000
  • t
    2.02308
  • p
    0.02186
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.04571
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.19870
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.04369
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.19666
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.74957
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.67710
  • Upside part of mean
    2.18978
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.62587
  • Upside SD
    0.28205
  • Downside SD
    0.20509
  • N nonnegative terms
    208.00000
  • N negative terms
    199.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    407.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.29923
  • Mean of criterion
    0.56391
  • SD of predictor
    0.16368
  • SD of criterion
    0.34741
  • Covariance
    0.01170
  • r
    0.20570
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.43659
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.43300
  • Mean Square Error
    0.11587
  • DF error
    405.00000
  • t(b)
    4.23002
  • p(b)
    0.00001
  • t(a)
    1.57635
  • p(a)
    0.05786
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.23369
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.63949
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.10705
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.97359
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    1.29162
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.43327
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.50387
  • SD
    0.34430
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.46346
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.46075
  • df
    406.00000
  • t
    1.82401
  • p
    0.03444
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.11316
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.03836
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.11499
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.03650
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.41309
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.30190
  • Upside part of mean
    2.15110
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.64723
  • Upside SD
    0.27499
  • Downside SD
    0.20880
  • N nonnegative terms
    208.00000
  • N negative terms
    199.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    407.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.28561
  • Mean of criterion
    0.50387
  • SD of predictor
    0.16431
  • SD of criterion
    0.34430
  • Covariance
    0.01154
  • r
    0.20405
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.42757
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.38175
  • Mean Square Error
    0.11389
  • DF error
    405.00000
  • t(b)
    4.19473
  • p(b)
    0.00002
  • t(a)
    1.40182
  • p(a)
    0.08087
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.22719
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.62795
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.15360
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.91709
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    1.17844
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.38175
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.03252
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.04105
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01410
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02764
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    407.00000
  • Minimum
    0.93407
  • Quartile 1
    0.99196
  • Median
    1.00023
  • Quartile 3
    1.01005
  • Maximum
    1.09202
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.97825
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99721
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00445
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.02915
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01809
  • Number outliers low
    14.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.03440
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.95394
  • Number of outliers high
    24.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.05897
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.05827
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.03036
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01937
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.02597
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.08644
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.02047
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02702
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    22.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00187
  • Quartile 1
    0.01082
  • Median
    0.03993
  • Quartile 3
    0.07968
  • Maximum
    0.28623
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00552
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.01913
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.05301
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.14278
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.06887
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.04545
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.28623
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.20114
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.16082
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.23622
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.75732
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.18415
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.62990
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.82677
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.70195
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    2.45240
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    4.91626
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    17.09780
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.55392
  • SD
    0.24422
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.26814
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.25503
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    1.60382
  • p
    0.43035
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.52159
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    5.04938
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.53029
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    5.04036
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.97405
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    11.02330
  • Upside part of mean
    1.53648
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.98256
  • Upside SD
    0.20231
  • Downside SD
    0.13938
  • N nonnegative terms
    71.00000
  • N negative terms
    60.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.19981
  • Mean of criterion
    0.55392
  • SD of predictor
    0.10914
  • SD of criterion
    0.24422
  • Covariance
    0.00527
  • r
    0.19782
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.44268
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.46547
  • Mean Square Error
    0.05775
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    2.29215
  • p(b)
    0.37489
  • t(a)
    1.36084
  • p(a)
    0.42444
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.06057
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.82478
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.21127
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.14221
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    1.25130
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.46547
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.52404
  • SD
    0.24232
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.16257
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.15007
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    1.52917
  • p
    0.43354
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.62568
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.94269
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.63403
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.93417
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.70105
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.70980
  • Upside part of mean
    1.51641
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.99237
  • Upside SD
    0.19817
  • Downside SD
    0.14159
  • N nonnegative terms
    71.00000
  • N negative terms
    60.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.19380
  • Mean of criterion
    0.52404
  • SD of predictor
    0.10926
  • SD of criterion
    0.24232
  • Covariance
    0.00523
  • r
    0.19748
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.43799
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.43915
  • Mean Square Error
    0.05687
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    2.28796
  • p(b)
    0.37510
  • t(a)
    1.29437
  • p(a)
    0.42807
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.03300
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.05924
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.81674
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.23212
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.11043
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    1.19647
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.43915
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02237
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02845
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00807
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01683
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.94879
  • Quartile 1
    0.99622
  • Median
    1.00079
  • Quartile 3
    1.00805
  • Maximum
    1.07194
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98665
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99873
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00339
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.02014
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01183
  • Number outliers low
    5.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.03817
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.96601
  • Number of outliers high
    6.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.04580
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.04685
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.28154
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01184
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.02053
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.27799
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01383
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02448
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    13.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00017
  • Quartile 1
    0.00352
  • Median
    0.01161
  • Quartile 3
    0.02624
  • Maximum
    0.10862
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00144
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00831
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.02259
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.07505
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02271
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    2.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.15385
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.08649
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -3.77556
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.05938
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.05946
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.36567
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.10156
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.25%
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.12418
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -377315000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    36
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.63562
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.73663
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    6.78168
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    9.81484
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    25.89010

Strategy Description

Growth based on asset diversification – or concentration?

Which one is better? Jim Rogers was the co-founder of the Quantum Fund, one of the world's most successful hedge funds, and used the concentration method.

Investing 101 is all about diversification and reducing your risk by spreading money around. Mr. Rogers said, “that it's much smarter to really concentrate your risks, and understand your risks and manage them that way. If you want to succeed, put all of your eggs in one basket... It has to be the right basket, and you better watch that basket very, very closely. But that's how you succeed. You don't get rich diversifying”.

I employ the same concentration method to generate income and growth appreciation. I trade my own funds with every trade. This is not a hypothetical trading account, I use my own money and the risk is very real. If you are opposed to the risk and do not want this type of trading please do not follow me, I understand that this type of trading is not for everyone.

I have been trading and investing since 1991 and have had the opportunity of starting and running my own successful registered investment advisory firm. I am currently retired and only trade/invest in my own personal accounts.

My strategy is a three-pronged strategy. First, I establish a long-term wealth-building strategy by buying investments/crypto's at discounted valuations to build our base (by receiving price appreciation and dividends over long periods of time, holding period (1- 10 yrs)). Next, I trade higher risk stocks & leveraged ETFs to build capital and to add additional growth to the portfolio (view these stocks as trading vehicles only to produce monthly income, holding period (1 day - weeks)). Sometimes, I utilize the Options market to take advantage of price and value, oversold and overbought conditions in the market, (growth and income generator, holding period (days - multi-weeks)).

Crypto's and underlying stocks, ETF's, & ETN's can have large swings in price. Be aware that sometimes we could have large drawdowns because of our positions in these type of investments. We do not like large drawdowns but they come with volatile investments and we consider the time frame in our overall investment strategy before investing in them.

If you would like to follow me, I welcome you.
Sit Down, Strap In, and Enjoy the Ride.

P.S. May - Aug 2021 poor performance was due to being hospitalized for Covid-19/WUHAN Virus plus the drawdown in the price of the Crypto related trades.

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2020-04-20
Suggested Minimum Capital
$100,000
Rank at C2 %
Top 3.6%
Rank # 
#29
# Trades
133
# Profitable
83
% Profitable
62.4%
Net Dividends
Correlation S&P500
0.204
Sharpe Ratio
1.35
Sortino Ratio
2.22
Beta
0.43
Alpha
0.12
Leverage
0.98 Average
3.09 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

#PERSONNAME#
subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

Okay, gotcha.

Not available

This feature isn't available under your current Trade Leader Plan.

Want to see available plans and features?

Please hold...

Strategy is now visible

This strategy is now visible to the public. New subscribers will be able to follow it.

If you designate your strategy as Private, it will no longer be visible to the public.

No subscribers and simulations will be allowed. If you have subscribers, the strategy will still be visible to them.
If you have simulations, they will be stopped.

Continue to designate your strategy as Private?

Strategy is no longer visible

This strategy is no longer visible to anyone except current subscribers.

(Current subscribers will remain subscribed. You can see who is subscribed, and control their subscriptions, on your Subscriber Management screen.)

Finally, please note that you can restore public visibility at any time.

This strategy is no longer visible to the public. No subscribers will be allowed.

You can restore public visibility at any time.

Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.